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White-Collar Labor

Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-04-24 | Freshness 12d

White-Collar Labor is 'active' with a composite score of 54.6. The hottest components are Hiring deterioration 60.5, Claims spillover 55.9.

54.62 Score
12 day(s) Freshness
2026-04-24 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Hiring deterioration 60.47
Hours softening 39.28
Claims spillover 55.87

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Professional and business services hires Hiring deterioration 74.34 3.90 20.41
Initial unemployment claims Claims spillover 57.14 214000.00 -4.46
Continuing unemployment claims Claims spillover 54.59 1821000.00 -4.46
Professional and business services job openings Hiring deterioration 54.48 1260.00 5.90
Temporary-help employment Hiring deterioration 52.59 2474.50 2.10
Average weekly hours in professional and business services Hours softening 39.28 36.60 -0.27

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 54.62
Freshness Days 12
Panel As Of Date 2026-04-24
Source As Of Date 2026-04-18

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean white-collar labor conditions look softer and more replacement-prone.
  • Claims are weekly; payroll and JOLTS series are forward-filled to the weekly panel rather than upsampled with interpolation.
  • Mechanism note: Replacement pressure shows up first through slower hiring, weaker hours, and then broader claims spillover rather than immediate mass unemployment.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 12 day(s) old.

Commentary

White-Collar Labor remains active with a composite score of 54.6, driven by elevated hiring deterioration and claims spillover.

  • Composite score of 54.6 reflects a 60.5 hiring-deterioration component and 55.9 claims-spillover component, indicating sustained labor market tightness.
  • Professional and business services hires (score 74.3) and initial unemployment claims (score 57.1) are the primary positive drivers.
  • Hours softening stays low at 39.3, suggesting limited reduction in weekly work hours.

Caveat: The index can be volatile due to short-term swings in unemployment claims, so recent momentum may not persist.