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White-Collar Labor

Indicator Study | Emerging | As of 2026-09-04 | Freshness 10d

White-Collar Labor is 'emerging' with a composite score of 45.5. The hottest components are Hiring deterioration 52.1, Claims spillover 50.4.

45.45 Score
10 day(s) Freshness
2026-09-04 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Hiring deterioration 52.06
Hours softening 21.89
Claims spillover 50.42

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Professional and business services hires Hiring deterioration 60.21 4.00 11.11
Professional and business services job openings Hiring deterioration 55.11 1138.00 10.18
Continuing unemployment claims Claims spillover 50.84 1779000.00 -7.68
Initial unemployment claims Claims spillover 50.00 206000.00 -12.71
Temporary-help employment Hiring deterioration 40.87 2519.50 -1.94
Average weekly hours in professional and business services Hours softening 21.89 36.80 -0.82

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 45.45
Freshness Days 10
Panel As Of Date 2026-09-04
Source As Of Date 2026-08-29

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean white-collar labor conditions look softer and more replacement-prone.
  • Claims are weekly; payroll and JOLTS series are forward-filled to the weekly panel rather than upsampled with interpolation.
  • Mechanism note: Replacement pressure shows up first through slower hiring, weaker hours, and then broader claims spillover rather than immediate mass unemployment.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 10 day(s) old.

Commentary

White-Collar Labor is 'emerging' with a composite score of 45.5. The hottest components are Hiring deterioration 52.1, Claims spillover 50.4.

Deterministic fallback commentary (AI unavailable): - score: 45.4513 - freshness_days: 10 - panel_as_of_date: 2026-09-04 - source_as_of_date: 2026-08-29 Caveat: This summary is template-based and may miss contextual drivers outside these indicators.