White-Collar Labor
Indicator Study | Emerging | As of 2026-07-10 | Freshness 12d
White-Collar Labor is 'emerging' with a composite score of 46.0. The hottest components are Claims spillover 53.8, Hiring deterioration 47.1.
45.99
Score
12 day(s)
Freshness
2026-07-10
As Of
Component Scores
| Component | Score |
|---|---|
| Hiring deterioration | 47.08 |
| Hours softening | 29.90 |
| Claims spillover | 53.77 |
Current Drivers
| Driver | Component | Score | Raw | Transformed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Professional and business services hires | Hiring deterioration | 56.53 | 4.30 | 8.51 |
| Initial unemployment claims | Claims spillover | 55.35 | 215000.00 | -5.70 |
| Continuing unemployment claims | Claims spillover | 52.19 | 1814000.00 | -6.93 |
| Temporary-help employment | Hiring deterioration | 46.36 | 2499.20 | -0.20 |
| Professional and business services job openings | Hiring deterioration | 38.35 | 1485.00 | -19.76 |
| Average weekly hours in professional and business services | Hours softening | 29.90 | 36.60 | -0.55 |
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Score | 45.99 |
| Freshness Days | 12 |
| Panel As Of Date | 2026-07-10 |
| Source As Of Date | 2026-07-04 |
Charts
Component contribution bars
Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.
Normalized history panel
All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.
Notes
- Higher scores mean white-collar labor conditions look softer and more replacement-prone.
- Claims are weekly; payroll and JOLTS series are forward-filled to the weekly panel rather than upsampled with interpolation.
- Mechanism note: Replacement pressure shows up first through slower hiring, weaker hours, and then broader claims spillover rather than immediate mass unemployment.
- Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 12 day(s) old.
Commentary
White‑Collar Labor is emerging with a composite score of 46.0, driven by high Claims spillover (53.8) and Hiring deterioration (47.1).
- Composite score: 46.0 (as of 2026‑07‑10)
- Claims spillover component: 53.8 (strongest upward driver)
- Hiring deterioration component: 47.1 (second‑strongest driver)
Caveat: The index is still emerging with limited historical depth and is subject to revisions, so the current status may change as more data becomes available.