White-Collar Labor
Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-04-24 | Freshness 12d
White-Collar Labor is 'active' with a composite score of 54.6. The hottest components are Hiring deterioration 60.5, Claims spillover 55.9.
54.62
Score
12 day(s)
Freshness
2026-04-24
As Of
Component Scores
| Component | Score |
|---|---|
| Hiring deterioration | 60.47 |
| Hours softening | 39.28 |
| Claims spillover | 55.87 |
Current Drivers
| Driver | Component | Score | Raw | Transformed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Professional and business services hires | Hiring deterioration | 74.34 | 3.90 | 20.41 |
| Initial unemployment claims | Claims spillover | 57.14 | 214000.00 | -4.46 |
| Continuing unemployment claims | Claims spillover | 54.59 | 1821000.00 | -4.46 |
| Professional and business services job openings | Hiring deterioration | 54.48 | 1260.00 | 5.90 |
| Temporary-help employment | Hiring deterioration | 52.59 | 2474.50 | 2.10 |
| Average weekly hours in professional and business services | Hours softening | 39.28 | 36.60 | -0.27 |
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Score | 54.62 |
| Freshness Days | 12 |
| Panel As Of Date | 2026-04-24 |
| Source As Of Date | 2026-04-18 |
Charts
Component contribution bars
Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.
Normalized history panel
All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.
Notes
- Higher scores mean white-collar labor conditions look softer and more replacement-prone.
- Claims are weekly; payroll and JOLTS series are forward-filled to the weekly panel rather than upsampled with interpolation.
- Mechanism note: Replacement pressure shows up first through slower hiring, weaker hours, and then broader claims spillover rather than immediate mass unemployment.
- Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 12 day(s) old.
Commentary
White-Collar Labor remains active with a composite score of 54.6, driven by elevated hiring deterioration and claims spillover.
- Composite score of 54.6 reflects a 60.5 hiring-deterioration component and 55.9 claims-spillover component, indicating sustained labor market tightness.
- Professional and business services hires (score 74.3) and initial unemployment claims (score 57.1) are the primary positive drivers.
- Hours softening stays low at 39.3, suggesting limited reduction in weekly work hours.
Caveat: The index can be volatile due to short-term swings in unemployment claims, so recent momentum may not persist.