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AI Buildout

Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-06-05 | Freshness 45d

AI Buildout is 'active' with a composite score of 52.2. The hottest components are Software and compute capex 63.9, Semiconductor supply tightness 54.1.

52.16 Score
45 day(s) Freshness
2026-06-05 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Software and compute capex 63.86
Power buildout 34.66
Semiconductor supply tightness 54.07

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Information processing equipment momentum Software and compute capex 83.96 30.90 30.90
Semiconductor industrial production Semiconductor supply tightness 75.47 188.01 15.22
Private fixed investment in intellectual property products Software and compute capex 73.74 384.18 44.54
Private construction spending on power Power buildout 40.32 155049.00 2.44
Private fixed investment in information processing equipment Software and compute capex 33.88 797.65 6.93
Semiconductor capacity utilization Semiconductor supply tightness 32.68 75.35 75.35
Data-processing and hosting payrolls Power buildout 29.00 461.80 -4.07

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 52.16
Freshness Days 45
Panel As Of Date 2026-06-05
Source As Of Date 2026-06-01

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean the physical and financial AI buildout is running hotter.
  • Quarterly capex series are carried onto the weekly Friday panel to preserve mixed-frequency comparability.
  • Mechanism note: Buildout pressure rises when software and equipment investment, power construction, and semiconductor tightness all run above their trailing norms.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 45 day(s) old.

Commentary

AI Buildout remains active with a composite score of 52.2, led by strong software/compute capex (63.9) and semiconductor supply tightness (54.1), while power buildout lags.

  • Composite score: 52.2 (latest, 2026‑06‑05) – modest expansion above neutral.
  • Software & compute capex component: 63.9 (top driver, transformed value 30.9).
  • Semiconductor supply tightness: 54.1 (transformed value 75.4), indicating tight capacity.

Caveat: The index aggregates a limited set of sub‑components; recent volatility in power‑related metrics and the heavy weighting of software capex could overstate the current momentum.