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Household Absorption

Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-03-06 | Freshness 60d

Household Absorption is 'active' with a composite score of 65.0. The hottest components are Debt-service pressure 71.1, Income strain 64.7.

64.98 Score
60 day(s) Freshness
2026-03-06 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Income strain 64.67
Spending strain 60.09
Debt-service pressure 71.07

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Consumer sentiment Income strain 72.92 53.30 -53.60
Household debt service ratio Debt-service pressure 71.07 11.32 11.32
Real personal consumption expenditures Spending strain 65.23 16698.90 -1.67
Real disposable personal income Income strain 56.42 18100.80 -0.40
Real retail sales Spending strain 54.95 227696.00 -0.66

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 64.98
Freshness Days 60
Panel As Of Date 2026-03-06
Source As Of Date 2026-03-01

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean households are absorbing less of the shock through income and spending, and more through strain.
  • This study deliberately scores fragility, not resilience, so that it rolls cleanly into the fragility composite.
  • Mechanism note: If AI-linked disruption is becoming macro-relevant, it should eventually leak into slower real income growth, weaker spending follow-through, and tighter household cash-flow tolerance.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 60 day(s) old.

Commentary

Household Absorption is active with a composite score of 65.0, led by Debt‑service pressure (71.1) and Income strain (64.7).

  • Composite score: 64.98 (60‑day freshness, as of 2026‑03‑06).
  • Debt‑service pressure component: 71.1 (highest driver).
  • Income strain component: 64.7, supported by consumer sentiment score 72.9.

Caveat: The index is forward‑looking and based on a limited 60‑day window; revisions to underlying data could alter the score.