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Household Absorption

Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-06-05 | Freshness 52d

Household Absorption is 'active' with a composite score of 60.4. The hottest components are Income strain 66.0, Debt-service pressure 64.6.

60.38 Score
52 day(s) Freshness
2026-06-05 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Income strain 66.00
Spending strain 51.13
Debt-service pressure 64.62

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Consumer sentiment Income strain 73.96 44.80 -52.20
Household debt service ratio Debt-service pressure 64.62 11.16 11.16
Real personal consumption expenditures Spending strain 62.75 16773.40 -1.86
Real disposable personal income Income strain 58.04 17983.80 -0.12
Real retail sales Spending strain 39.50 231096.00 -3.15

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 60.38
Freshness Days 52
Panel As Of Date 2026-06-05
Source As Of Date 2026-06-01

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean households are absorbing less of the shock through income and spending, and more through strain.
  • This study deliberately scores fragility, not resilience, so that it rolls cleanly into the fragility composite.
  • Mechanism note: If AI-linked disruption is becoming macro-relevant, it should eventually leak into slower real income growth, weaker spending follow-through, and tighter household cash-flow tolerance.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 52 day(s) old.

Commentary

Household Absorption is active with a composite score of 60.4, driven by elevated income strain (~66) and debt-service pressure (~64.6).

  • Composite score: 60.38 (panel as of 2026-06-05; source as of 2026-06-01).
  • Income strain component: 65.99 (hottest driver).
  • Debt-service pressure component: 64.62 (second‑hottest driver).

Caveat: The index is forward‑looking but subject to revision as new data arrive, and component weightings may shift.