Household Absorption
Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-02-06 | Freshness 60d
Household Absorption is 'active' with a composite score of 61.5. The hottest components are Debt-service pressure 71.4, Income strain 59.0.
61.51
Score
60 day(s)
Freshness
2026-02-06
As Of
Component Scores
| Component | Score |
|---|---|
| Income strain | 58.97 |
| Spending strain | 55.55 |
| Debt-service pressure | 71.45 |
Current Drivers
| Driver | Component | Score | Raw | Transformed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Household debt service ratio | Debt-service pressure | 71.45 | 11.32 | 11.32 |
| Consumer sentiment | Income strain | 67.75 | 56.60 | -56.60 |
| Real personal consumption expenditures | Spending strain | 58.79 | 16700.20 | -2.47 |
| Real retail sales | Spending strain | 52.30 | 225483.00 | -1.25 |
| Real disposable personal income | Income strain | 50.19 | 18203.20 | -1.63 |
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Score | 61.51 |
| Freshness Days | 60 |
| Panel As Of Date | 2026-02-06 |
| Source As Of Date | 2026-02-01 |
Charts
Component contribution bars
Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.
Normalized history panel
All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.
Notes
- Higher scores mean households are absorbing less of the shock through income and spending, and more through strain.
- This study deliberately scores fragility, not resilience, so that it rolls cleanly into the fragility composite.
- Mechanism note: If AI-linked disruption is becoming macro-relevant, it should eventually leak into slower real income growth, weaker spending follow-through, and tighter household cash-flow tolerance.
- Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 60 day(s) old.
Commentary
Household Absorption remains active at a composite score of 61.5, driven by elevated debt‑service pressure (71.4) and moderate income strain (≈59).
- Composite score: 61.5 (as of 2026‑02‑06), modestly higher than recent levels.
- Debt‑service pressure component: 71.4, the highest sub‑indicator, indicating continued debt stress.
- Income strain component: 59.0, reflecting ongoing pressure on household cash flow.
Caveat: The index is forward‑looking and subject to revisions; it may not fully capture sudden macro‑economic shocks.