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Household Absorption

Indicator Study | Active | As of 2026-02-06 | Freshness 60d

Household Absorption is 'active' with a composite score of 61.5. The hottest components are Debt-service pressure 71.4, Income strain 59.0.

61.51 Score
60 day(s) Freshness
2026-02-06 As Of

Component Scores

Component Score
Income strain 58.97
Spending strain 55.55
Debt-service pressure 71.45

Current Drivers

Driver Component Score Raw Transformed
Household debt service ratio Debt-service pressure 71.45 11.32 11.32
Consumer sentiment Income strain 67.75 56.60 -56.60
Real personal consumption expenditures Spending strain 58.79 16700.20 -2.47
Real retail sales Spending strain 52.30 225483.00 -1.25
Real disposable personal income Income strain 50.19 18203.20 -1.63

Metrics

Metric Value
Score 61.51
Freshness Days 60
Panel As Of Date 2026-02-06
Source As Of Date 2026-02-01

Charts

Component contribution bars

Component contribution bars

Higher scores indicate more replacement pressure or fragility for this study.

Normalized history panel

Normalized history panel

All lines are scored on the same 0-100 scale using trailing z-scores on a weekly Friday panel.

Notes

  • Higher scores mean households are absorbing less of the shock through income and spending, and more through strain.
  • This study deliberately scores fragility, not resilience, so that it rolls cleanly into the fragility composite.
  • Mechanism note: If AI-linked disruption is becoming macro-relevant, it should eventually leak into slower real income growth, weaker spending follow-through, and tighter household cash-flow tolerance.
  • Freshness: the stalest source series in this study is 60 day(s) old.

Commentary

Household Absorption remains active at a composite score of 61.5, driven by elevated debt‑service pressure (71.4) and moderate income strain (≈59).

  • Composite score: 61.5 (as of 2026‑02‑06), modestly higher than recent levels.
  • Debt‑service pressure component: 71.4, the highest sub‑indicator, indicating continued debt stress.
  • Income strain component: 59.0, reflecting ongoing pressure on household cash flow.

Caveat: The index is forward‑looking and subject to revisions; it may not fully capture sudden macro‑economic shocks.